Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.004292 0.004514 0.004742 0.004994 0.005266 0.005550 0.005869
2025-10-12 0.003952 0.004285 0.004642 0.005054 0.005520 0.006032 0.006641
2025-10-19 0.003687 0.004077 0.004507 0.005020 0.005619 0.006300 0.007142
2025-10-26 0.003489 0.003918 0.004403 0.004995 0.005704 0.006535 0.007596
2025-11-02 0.003320 0.003777 0.004302 0.004957 0.005760 0.006726 0.007995
2025-11-09 0.003242 0.003735 0.004311 0.005043 0.005962 0.007096 0.008629
2025-11-16 0.003112 0.003620 0.004223 0.005003 0.005999 0.007255 0.008996
2025-11-23 0.003012 0.003536 0.004167 0.004994 0.006072 0.007457 0.009426
2025-11-30 0.002891 0.003420 0.004064 0.004921 0.006052 0.007534 0.009684
2025-12-07 0.002786 0.003320 0.003977 0.004860 0.006045 0.007622 0.009958
2025-12-14 0.002713 0.003257 0.003932 0.004851 0.006103 0.007799 0.010365
2025-12-21 0.002587 0.003121 0.003789 0.004706 0.005969 0.007699 0.010360
2025-12-28 0.002536 0.003081 0.003769 0.004727 0.006065 0.007930 0.010863
2026-01-04 0.002503 0.003062 0.003777 0.004784 0.006212 0.008242 0.011509
2026-01-11 0.002437 0.002999 0.003723 0.004753 0.006231 0.008365 0.011867
2026-01-18 0.002378 0.002942 0.003675 0.004729 0.006259 0.008500 0.012251
2026-01-25 0.002319 0.002883 0.003623 0.004694 0.006268 0.008607 0.012592
2026-02-01 0.002304 0.002884 0.003650 0.004774 0.006449 0.008984 0.013411
2026-02-08 0.002250 0.002828 0.003597 0.004736 0.006452 0.009082 0.013756
2026-02-15 0.002208 0.002788 0.003567 0.004729 0.006499 0.009250 0.014237
2026-02-22 0.002147 0.002722 0.003497 0.004660 0.006448 0.009259 0.014428
2026-03-01 0.002094 0.002664 0.003436 0.004604 0.006415 0.009292 0.014665
2026-03-08 0.002058 0.002629 0.003409 0.004596 0.006455 0.009449 0.015143